思考的藝術：52 個非受迫性思考錯誤

思考的藝術：52 個非受迫性思考錯誤
2012年09月01日


存活者偏誤 The Survivorship Bias
泳將身材的錯覺 The Swimmer's Body Illusion
過度自信效應 The Overconfidence Effect
社會認同 Social Proof
沉默成本謬誤 The Sunk Cost Fallacy
互惠 The Reciprocity
確認偏誤 The Confirmation Bias
權威偏誤 The Authority Bias
對比效應 The Contrast Effect
現成偏誤 The Availability Bias
在好轉之前會先惡化的陷阱 Die Es-wird-schlimmer-bevores-besser-kommt-Falle
故事偏誤 The Story Bias
後見之明偏誤 The Hindsight Bias
司機的知識 The Chauffeur Knowledge
控制的錯覺 Illusion of Control
激勵過敏傾向 The Incentive Superresponse Tendency
均值迴歸 Regression Toward the Mean
公地悲劇 The Tragedy of the Commons
結果偏誤 The Outcome Bias
選擇的弔詭 The Paradox of Choice
討喜偏誤 The Liking Bias
稟賦效應 The Endowment Effect
奇蹟 The Wonder
團體迷思 Groupthink
輕忽機率偏誤 The Neglect of Probability
零風險偏誤 The Zero-Risk Bias
稀少性謬誤 The Scarcity Fallacy
忽視基本比率 The Base-Rate Neglect
賭徒謬誤 The Gambler's Fallacy
錨定 The Anchor
歸納法 The Induction
損失規避 The Loss Aversion
社會性懈怠 Social Loafing
指數增長 The Exponential Growth
贏者詛咒 The Winner's Curse
基本歸因謬誤 The Fundamental Attribution Error
錯誤的因果關係 The False Causality
月暈效應 The Halo Effect
替代路徑 The Alternate Path
預測的錯覺 The Forecast Illusion
聯結謬誤 The Conjunction Fallacy
框架 Framing
行動偏誤 The Action Bias
不作為偏誤 The Omission Bias
自利偏誤 The Self-Serving Bias
享樂跑步機 Hedonic Treadmill
自我選擇偏誤 The Self-Selection Bias
聯想偏誤 The Association Bias
新手的運氣 The Beginner's Luck
認知失調 The Cognitive Dissonance
雙曲貼現 The Hyperbolic Discounting